Tradzar
Shiba Inu Price Analysis Powered by AI
SHIB Breaks the 0.000007 Barrier: Base-to-Breakout Move Signals a 24H Upside Attempt
Market Snapshot (SHIB)
- Current price: 0.00000701
- Data windows used:
- Daily (D): 2025-11-17 → 2026-02-14
- Hourly (H): 2026-02-13 22:00 → 2026-02-14 21:58
1) Multi-timeframe Trend & Regime
Daily structure (macro context)
- Range-to-down regime (Nov → early Feb): Price spent long stretches pinned at 0.000009, then 0.000008, then 0.000007, and finally 0.000006—a classic step-down distribution pattern.
- Capitulation + base (late Jan → Feb 13): Multiple daily candles held ~0.000006 with repeated lows touching 0.000006 and occasional wicks toward 0.000005. This is consistent with support absorption.
- Breakout impulse (Feb 14): Daily candle:
- Open: ~0.000006322
- High: ~0.000007089
- Low: ~0.000006304
- Close: ~0.000007010
- Volume: 174.9M (elevated vs many of the preceding ~100–150M days)
Interpretation: After a long base around 0.000006, SHIB printed a high-momentum expansion day that reclaimed 0.000007. This often transitions the market from “base” to “markup attempt”.
Hourly structure (tactical context)
- Clear intraday uptrend: series of higher highs/higher lows from ~0.00000632 to ~0.00000710.
- Notable impulse leg between ~16:00–21:00 with heavy volumes (5.6M → 11.3M hourly prints), suggesting active participation and not just thin drift.
- Minor pullback/rotation at 20:00 (close ~0.000006864) followed by immediate re-break to ~0.00000700.
Regime call (next 24h): bullish-to-neutral with elevated volatility; odds favor continuation or retest-hold rather than immediate full mean reversion.
2) Key Levels (Support/Resistance Mapping)
Supports
- 0.00000700–0.00000695: Psychological + breakout retest zone (current pivot).
- 0.00000688–0.00000683: Prior hourly consolidation and pullback low area.
- 0.00000655–0.00000645: Midday base before the late-session impulse.
- 0.00000632–0.00000630: Day’s origin / pre-break level (major intraday demand).
Resistances
- 0.00000709–0.00000710: Today’s high / immediate supply.
- 0.00000720–0.00000730: Next likely round-number expansion target (measured move extension).
- 0.00000750: Higher-timeframe supply band (where sellers may defend after a sharp 1-day run).
3) Price Action Patterns & Classical Charting
Breakout from base
- Daily shows prolonged flat base at 0.000006, then a range expansion day closing near highs (~0.00000701).
- This resembles a volatility contraction → expansion transition; such breaks often see:
- a retest of the breakout line (0.00000700), then
- continuation to the next supply area.
Candlestick read (daily)
- Large real body relative to prior days, close near the top of range = demand dominance.
- Low-to-close distance suggests dips were bought.
4) Momentum & Moving-Average Logic (inference from structure)
Because the daily series is “stepped” (0.000009 → 0.000008 → 0.000007 → 0.000006), the medium MAs likely trended down previously. However:
- The last ~2 weeks were flat at 0.000006, meaning short MAs (5–10D equivalent) likely flattened.
- Today’s move to 0.00000701 likely pushed price above very short-term averages and may be initiating an early bullish MA crossover on the intraday timeframe.
Takeaway: Momentum has flipped positive short-term; medium-term trend is improving from bearish to neutral.
5) Volatility, Range Expansion & ATR-style Thinking
- Today’s daily range: ~0.000006304 → ~0.000007089 (~12.5% swing). That’s a volatility spike.
- After volatility spikes, markets commonly:
- consolidate (bull flag)
- retrace 38.2–61.8% of the impulse
Impulse leg (approx): 0.00000632 → 0.00000709 (Δ ~0.00000077)
- 38.2% retrace: ~0.00000709 - 0.00000029 ≈ 0.00000680
- 50% retrace: ~0.00000709 - 0.00000039 ≈ 0.00000670
- 61.8% retrace: ~0.00000709 - 0.00000048 ≈ 0.00000661
These align well with observed intraday structures (0.00000683–0.00000655).
6) Volume & Participation
- Daily volume increased on the breakout day—supportive of a valid breakout.
- Hourly volumes surged into the close (notably 21:00). Late-session demand often leads to either:
- follow-through early next session, or
- a quick liquidity sweep, then reversion to the breakout level.
Net: volume confirms buyers are active, but also implies greater whipsaw risk.
7) Scenario Planning (Next 24 Hours)
Base case (higher probability): Bullish continuation after a retest
- Price retests 0.00000700–0.00000695, holds, then pushes back toward 0.00000710 and attempts 0.00000720–0.00000730.
Bull case: Immediate squeeze through 0.00000710
- If price holds above 0.00000700 with no deep pullback, momentum traders may drive a quick extension to 0.00000730–0.00000750.
Bear case: Failed breakout / mean reversion
- Loss of 0.00000683 increases probability of sliding into 0.00000655–0.00000645 (full retest of pre-impulse base). This would still be “constructive” if it holds, but would delay upside.
Probability-weighted expectation (24h): slight bullish bias; likely trading range 0.00000680 → 0.00000730, with a higher chance of testing the upper band if 0.00000700 holds.
Trade Stance (tactical)
Given the breakout + volume confirmation + reclaimed 0.000007 pivot, the higher edge is:
- Buy (Long) on a retest rather than chasing the high.
Risk Notes (practical)
- SHIB is prone to wick-driven volatility; a breakout day often invites stop runs below the pivot.
- If price loses 0.00000683 decisively, continuation odds drop and the market can rotate quickly back into the 0.00000655 region.
24h Directional Call
Upward bias / consolidation-to-up: Expect a pullback toward 0.00000700 (or slightly below), then an attempt to retake 0.00000710 and push toward 0.00000720–0.00000730 within 24 hours.